Forestry in Europe experiences diverse impacts due to climate change
Researchers from the Technical University of Munich have explored the economic repercussions of climate change on forestry in Europe. An international research team, including Rupert Seidl and Thomas Knoke, who have contributed to studies on ecosystem dynamics and forest management relevant to this topic, have also been part of this study.
The study reveals that costs for forest owners will escalate in all the considered scenarios. This finding is based on the simulation of how different climatic conditions affect forest growth and timber harvest.
In the reference period from 1981 to 2005, damages amounted to 115 billion euros. However, with a global warming of 4.8 degrees, damages could increase to up to 247 billion euros.
The study underscores the importance of regional differences in the impact of climate change on European forestry. While Scandinavian forests could potentially benefit from climate change, Southern Europe may face significant challenges adapting promptly. In Southern Europe, damage costs may exceed potential additional revenues due to climate change.
The study shows that forest fires, storms, and pests are increasingly straining forests and leading to ecological and economic consequences. To mitigate these effects, the researchers recommend targeted adaptation of forestry to minimize economic losses and promote climate-resilient forests.
The study's recommendations aim to help forest owners and policymakers prepare for and mitigate the economic impacts of climate change on European forestry. The findings underline that the gains from climate change are not evenly distributed across Europe, and regional differences need to be considered in adaptation strategies.
The study also highlights that the benefits of longer growth periods and higher CO2 concentrations in Southern Europe are outweighed by potential damage costs, whereas Scandinavian forests could potentially benefit from climate change.
In conclusion, the study provides valuable insights into the economic losses caused by climate change in European forestry and emphasizes the need for targeted adaptation of forestry to promote climate-resilient forests. This research underscores the urgency for forest owners and policymakers to address the challenges of climate change in forestry management.
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